Burden & epidemiology
Based on the latest available global modelled estimates for 2019, about 33 million episodes of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-induced acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI) occurred in children aged under 5 years of age; one in five episodes occur in children aged 0-6 months.Go to footnote 1
By two years of age almost all children will have been infected with RSV, with approximately 25-33% developing ALRI. RSV infections recur throughout life, but disease severity is lower in older children and healthy young adults and begins to rise again among elderly persons (e.g., over 65 years of age).Go to footnote 2, Go to footnote 3
A systematic review and meta-analysis from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) estimated that 26.2% of children aged under 5 years hospitalized with ALRI were RSV-positive. This ranged from 18.9% among children 6– < 60 months to 41.3% among children 0– < 6 months.Go to footnote 4
Another systematic review of the age distribution of RSV disease in children aged under five years in LMICs showed that the mode (peak) age was three weeks for non-facility deaths, four weeks for facility deaths, seven weeks for ICU admissions, 17 weeks for inpatient admissions, 10 weeks for emergency room visits, 28 weeks for outpatient or clinic visits, and 22 weeks for community cases.Go to footnote 5 Over a half of ICU admissions and deaths and over a third of emergency room visits and hospitalizations were in infants aged below six months.
Most pooled LMIC estimates rely on pre-COVID datasets, so post-pandemic seasonality changes are not captured.
RSV strains are grouped within a single serotype but are separated into two subgroups: RSV-A and RSV-B and both can cause severe disease. Both subgroups co-circulate during an RSV season; however, the dominating subgroup is unpredictable and varies across annual outbreaks.Go to footnote 6, Go to footnote 7
In children aged under 5 years, an estimated 101 400 deaths occurred in 2019; 97% of all deaths were estimated to have occurred in LMICs. Of the total deaths, 45 700 were estimated to have occurred in infants aged below six months Go to footnote 8, Go to footnote 9
The estimated case fatality ratio (CFR) in hospitalized children aged 0 - 60 months is 0.1% in high-income countries (HICs), 0.6%–0.8% in LMICs, and 1.4% in low-income countries (LICs).
Community mortality studies show that a high and unmeasured burden of RSV deaths in children in LMICs occur at home; in these settings, it is estimated that 4 deaths occur in the community for every 1 in-hospital death.Go to footnote 10
Seasonal epidemics occur every year in the general population in most, but not all, locations globally. Nosocomial outbreaks have been reported in several health care settings, including paediatric and neonatal intensive care units, adult stem cell transplant units, and adult haematology and oncology units in LMICs. RSV outbreaks have also been reported among older adults in long-term care facilities. RSV is not a virus of pandemic potential.Go to footnote 11
Currently there is no global or regional elimination or control goal for diseases caused by RSV.
- Go back to footnote reference 1
Li Y, Wang X, Blau DM, Caballero MT, Feikin DR, et al. (2022). Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in children younger than 5 years in 2019: a systematic analysis. Lancet. 400(10319): 717–739. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00478-0.
- Go back to footnote reference 2
Glezen WP, Taber LH, Frank AL, Kasel JA (1986). Risk of primary infection and reinfection with respiratory syncytial virus. Am J Dis Child. 140:543–546. doi:doi:10.1001/archpedi.1986.02140200053026.
- Go back to footnote reference 3
Fleming JA, Baral R, Higgins D, Khan S, Kochar S, et al. (2023). Value profile for respiratory syncytial virus vaccines and monoclonal antibodies. Vaccine. 41(Suppl 1):S7. doi:doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.09.081.
- Go back to footnote reference 4
Lutz CS, Zhang H, Knoll MD, Sparrow EG, Chen H, Feikin DR. Respiratory syncytial virus positivity among hospital admissions for acute respiratory illness in children younger than 5 years of age in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health. 2026 Feb 24;26(1):1059. doi:doi: 10.1186/s12889-026-26743-4.
- Go back to footnote reference 5
Mahmud S, van Zandvoort K, Guo L, Li Y, Nair H, et al. Age distribution of respiratory syncytial virus disease in children younger than 5 years in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Child Adolesc Health. 2026 Apr;10(4):245-254. doi:doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(25)00349-9.
- Go back to footnote reference 6
Mufson MA, Orvell C, Rafnar B, Norrby E (1985). Two distinct subtypes of human respiratory syncytial virus. J Gen Virol. 66 (Pt 10):2111–2124. doi:doi:10.1099/0022-1317-66-10-2111.
- Go back to footnote reference 7
Borchers AT, Chang C, Gershwin ME, Gershwin LJ (2013). Respiratory syncytial virus-a comprehensive review. Clin Rev Allergy Immunol. 45:331–379. doi:doi:10.1007/s12016-013-8368-9.
- Go back to footnote reference 8
Li Y, Wang X, Blau DM, Caballero MT, Feikin DR, et al. (2022). Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in children younger than 5 years in 2019: a systematic analysis. Lancet. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00478-0.
- Go back to footnote reference 9
Du Y, Yan R, Wu X, Zhang X, Chen C, et al. (2023). Global burden and trends of respiratory syncytial virus infection across different age groups from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis of the global burden of disease 2019 study. Int J Infect Dis. 135:70–76. doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2023.08.008.
- Go back to footnote reference 10
Li Y, Wang X, Blau DM, Caballero MT, Feikin DR, et al. (2022). Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in children younger than 5 years in 2019: a systematic analysis. Lancet. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00478-0.
- Go back to footnote reference 11
Fleming JA, Baral R, Higgins D, Khan S, Kochar S, et al. (2023). Value profile for respiratory syncytial virus vaccines and monoclonal antibodies. Vaccine. 41(Suppl 1):S7. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.09.081.